Success StoryPrice Risk Management Tools



Price Risk Management Tools

Author: Todd Davis

Planning Unit: Agr Economics

Major Program: Ag Marketing

Outcome: Initial Outcome

To help farmers improve their understanding of grain marketing and price risk management tools, I have led workshops and meetings explaining commodity futures, options, and various price risk contracts for both beginning farmers and established farmers. Using historical cash market and futures market data, I have evaluated the effectiveness of these tools to reduce price risk for grain sold at harvest and for stored grain. Part of this effort was an online the UK Grain Marketing Series via Lync to farmers in Butler and Simpson Counties. Five one-hour presentations were delivered from November 2015 to March 2016. Topics presented were: an overview of grain marketing and risk management; using futures and options to manage risk; understanding the cash market and tools to manage risk; a discussion of past performance of alternative risk management strategies; and understanding crop insurance as a foundation in developing a marketing and risk management plan for 2016. Participants also played the on-line grain risk management game The Commodity Challenge to apply what was learned in a risk-free environment. This program is a national finalist in the 2016 National Association of County Ag. Agents’ contest titled “Search for Excellence in Young, Beginning or Small Farms/Ranger Program.” Greg Drake, Butler County ANR Agent, stated, “The national chair told me that if we did this program again and had better participation, we would stand a good chance of winning. When we presented about the program county agents across the country were fascinated by the concept and the program.”

I co-directed two undergraduate independent study experiences in 2017 that have benefited my risk management Extension program. A student developed a detailed database of commodity options that will allow for detailed evaluation of strategies recommended by market consultants that have a speculative component. Researching the performance of these strategies and reporting this information to farmers will improve their understanding of the risks and benefits of following speculative market positions.  Another independent study I co-directed used cash and forward contract from twelve markets in Kentucky combined with commodity futures data to evaluate pre-harvest and post-harvest risk management strategies from 2000 to 2016. Extension bulletins are in progress to report this analysis to improve managers’ decision-making capabilities. 






Stories by Todd Davis


Price Risk Management Tools

about 5 years ago by Todd Davis

To help farmers improve their understanding of grain marketing and price risk management tools, I ha... Read More


Crop Insurance

about 5 years ago by Todd Davis

The 2014 Farm Bill made crop insurance the foundation for a grain farms risk-management program. My ... Read More


Stories by Agr Economics


New Marketing Curriculum for Commercial Horticulture Producers

New Marketing Curriculum for Commercial Horticulture Producers

about 5 years ago by Brett Wolff

In 2017, I led the development of a successful $50,000 grant proposal to the Specialty Crop Block Gr... Read More


Marketing Management

about 5 years ago by Jennifer Rogers

I work with a farm that is going through bankruptcy. Every year we have to submit a plan to the bank... Read More


Stories by Ag Marketing


Lender's Conferences

about 5 years ago by William Snell

Several years ago, a need was identified to provide educational programming for agricultural lenders... Read More


Replacement Heifer Sale

about 5 years ago by Brandon Sears

Madison County currently has an agriculture economy that is based on beef cattle production. Approxi... Read More